Inflation and Government Involvement
By Jeremy Reif, CRPS
The unintended consequences of raising minimum wages and the fight against inflation. The cause and effect of our government’s actions, for better or worse. In a purely economic sense, supply and demand would have worked themselves out naturally. Government intervention forced change where it potentially did or didn’t need it.
The fast-food world was blown away when a McDonald’s on the East Coast made headlines for charging a staggering $17–$18 for their combo meals. This seemingly exorbitant price has become the focal point of a national conversation, exposing the intricacies of the fast-food industry, labor costs, and the consequences of minimum wage hikes.
The real question is:
- What were the costs before the wage hikes?
- What was the percentage increase?
- Is the percentage increase in line with its peers?
Nationwide Price Escalation
Fast food prices across the United States are on the rise. The surge is not isolated but reflects a broader trend attributed, in part, to escalating operational costs, particularly those related to labor. Whether we liked it or not, inflation happened in the last year and a half. Costs from A to Z went up, and all of the food industry was affected, even the mom-and-pop sit-down diners.
California has emerged as a key player in the fast-food wage debate by implementing a new $20 minimum wage for fast-food employees, effective April 1, 2024. This bold move has created a ripple effect, causing both anticipation and anxiety within the industry.
In anticipation of the impending wage hike, major players like Chipotle and McDonald’s are preemptively raising their prices. However, this strategy is not without consequences, as over 1,200 Pizza Hut drivers in California are now facing layoffs, signaling the complexity of balancing fair wages with sustainable business practices. There is a tipping point for what consumers will pay for mediocre food and convenience.
Impact on Businesses and Employees
These business models are based on serving large quantities of people. The dollar menu may have disappeared, but there have always been loss leaders to get people through the door. If all prices significantly rise out of proportion compared to their peers overnight, there will be a problem.
Workers are tough to come by. As the baby boom generation leaves the workforce, it becomes harder to find quality workers to replace them. It has never been a secret for these restaurants to hire and maintain their workers; some fast-food chains might have already been paying their workers more than the minimum wage. Prices will work their way out by way of supply and demand.
Consequences of the Wage Increase and Navigating the Path Forward
While the government aims to improve the living standards of fast-food workers, the unintended consequences include price hikes and layoffs. This situation underscores the intricate nature of economic policies and their far-reaching impacts on both workers and consumers.
As the fast-food industry finds itself at a crossroads, the debate intensifies. Striking the right balance between fair wages and sustainable business practices remains an unresolved challenge. The initial results are that this will not close the gap. The surge in prices and job losses necessitates a careful examination of economic policies and their ramifications.
Time will tell. Will consumers stop going to these fast-food chains? Or was this initial article started just by someone who was ranting on social media and getting their 10 minutes of fame?